Overview / Entertainment / Contract detail
Will CONFESSIONS II by Madonna have above 130000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 03, 2026 - July 09, 2026 tracking week?
Closes in 36h·Albumequiv
74¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
5¢crowd cost basis
+69¢distance from crowd basis
4.19×vol vs peers
5,08824h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Entertainment cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
4.19×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0573Category median logit vol/hr
5¢Crowd cost basis
39%Cost-basis conviction
3Similar category unusual moves
67%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 39% · profiled volume 7,693 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Entertainment reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
BUILDING SAMPLE · n=33unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
67%partial reversion rate
22%avg move given back