Overview / Crypto / Contract detail
Bitcoin price range on Jul 11, 2026?
Settles Jul 11, 12AM ET
6¢current price
-0.91σoverextension z · high
—crowd cost basis
—distance from crowd basis
1.08×vol vs peers
62024h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Crypto cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
1.08×Vol vs comparable peers
0.1983Category median logit vol/hr
—Crowd cost basis
138Similar category unusual moves
22%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Crypto reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
138unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
22%partial reversion rate
3%avg move given back