Overview / Crypto / Contract detail
BTC > $64,199.99
Settles Jul 11, 12AM ET·BTC ladder / hourly
6¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
55¢crowd cost basis
-48¢distance from crowd basis
4.16×vol vs peers
612,54524h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Crypto cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
4.16×Vol vs comparable peers
0.1983Category median logit vol/hr
55¢Crowd cost basis
26%Cost-basis conviction
138Similar category unusual moves
22%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 26% · profiled volume 761,089 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Crypto reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
138unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
22%partial reversion rate
3%avg move given back