LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-11T13:06
Status
Not trading advice Feedback

Overview / Mentions / Contract detail

What will Netflix, Inc. say during their next earnings call?

Settles Jul 2, 12AM ET·Earningsment

56¢current price
+0.30σoverextension z · high
60¢crowd cost basis
-4¢distance from crowd basis
33.03×vol vs peers
56124h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Mentions cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

33.03×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0755Category median logit vol/hr
60¢Crowd cost basis
53%Cost-basis conviction
507Similar category unusual moves
63%Partial reversion base rate

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~29h ago~14h agolatestCrowd basis 60¢~29h before latest: 60.0¢~28h before latest: 60.0¢~27h before latest: 60.0¢~26h before latest: 60.0¢~25h before latest: 61.0¢~24h before latest: 60.0¢~23h before latest: 60.0¢~22h before latest: 60.0¢~21h before latest: 59.0¢~20h before latest: 59.0¢~19h before latest: 59.0¢~18h before latest: 59.0¢~17h before latest: 60.0¢~16h before latest: 60.0¢~15h before latest: 60.0¢~14h before latest: 58.0¢~13h before latest: 12.0¢~12h before latest: 29.0¢~11h before latest: 31.0¢~10h before latest: 32.0¢~9h before latest: 40.0¢~8h before latest: 40.0¢~7h before latest: 43.0¢~6h before latest: 44.0¢~5h before latest: 44.0¢~4h before latest: 48.0¢~3h before latest: 48.0¢~2h before latest: 53.0¢~1h before latest: 53.0¢latest: 56.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 53% · profiled volume 587 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.0721442162880¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 2 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ price bucket: 267 contracts30¢ price bucket: 5 contracts35¢ price bucket: 0 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 0 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ current price bucket: 8 contracts60¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 288 contracts65¢ price bucket: 17 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.

Mentions reversion history

Category-level base rate for unusual moves.

63% GAVE BACK
37% CONTINUED
507unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
63%partial reversion rate
50%avg move given back