LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-11T01:48
Status
Not trading advice Feedback

Overview / Mentions / Contract detail

What will Tesla, Inc. say during their next earnings call?

Settles Jul 22, 12AM ET·Earningsment

72¢current price
overextension z · insufficient
60¢crowd cost basis
+12¢distance from crowd basis
31.89×vol vs peers
1,13124h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Mentions cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

31.89×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0849Category median logit vol/hr
60¢Crowd cost basis
82%Cost-basis conviction

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~6h ago~3h agolatestCrowd basis 60¢~6h before latest: 70.0¢~5h before latest: 18.0¢~4h before latest: 28.0¢~3h before latest: 62.0¢~2h before latest: 74.0¢~1h before latest: 74.0¢latest: 72.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 82% · profiled volume 1,131 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.02314626939240¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 180 contracts25¢ price bucket: 0 contracts30¢ price bucket: 27 contracts35¢ price bucket: 0 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 0 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 924 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ current price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.