LT
Logit Terminal Research
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi (licensed)
Last updated2026-07-10T03:33
Status
Not trading advice

Overview / Entertainment / Contract detail

Will Young Thug be featured on 'The Real Me' by Future?

Closes in 175d·Feature

53¢current price
overextension z · insufficient
60¢crowd cost basis
-7¢distance from crowd basis
15.01×vol vs peers
6,88724h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Entertainment cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

15.01×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0601Category median logit vol/hr
60¢Crowd cost basis
62%Cost-basis conviction
2Similar category unusual moves
50%Partial reversion base rate

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~6h ago~3h agolatestCrowd basis 60¢~6h before latest: 26.0¢~5h before latest: 33.0¢~4h before latest: 30.0¢~3h before latest: 23.0¢~2h before latest: 58.0¢~1h before latest: 48.0¢latest: 53.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 62% · profiled volume 8,526 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.01,0832,1663,2504,3330¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ price bucket: 1 contracts30¢ price bucket: 1,296 contracts35¢ price bucket: 0 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 0 contracts50¢ price bucket: 1,973 contracts55¢ current price bucket: 923 contracts60¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 4,333 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.

Entertainment reversion history

Category-level base rate for unusual moves.

50% GAVE BACK
50% CONTINUED
BUILDING SAMPLE · n=2
2unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
50%partial reversion rate
21%avg move given back