Overview / Commodities / Contract detail
Will the gold close price be above 4086.99 USD/t.oz on July 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Settles Jul 10, 12AM ET
80¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
50¢crowd cost basis
+30¢distance from crowd basis
1.1×vol vs peers
34024h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Commodities cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
1.1×Vol vs comparable peers
0.1372Category median logit vol/hr
50¢Crowd cost basis
68%Cost-basis conviction
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 68% · profiled volume 1,052 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.