LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-11T13:06
Status
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Overview / Sports / Contract detail

Will Yang / ZENG win the Yang / ZENG vs Rifqi Fitriadi / Lee: M15 Wuning Final match?

Live event · 9.1h since start·Other sports

88¢current price
overextension z · insufficient
90¢crowd cost basis
-2¢distance from crowd basis
43.14×vol vs peers
1,20824h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

43.14×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0576Category median logit vol/hr
90¢Crowd cost basis
71%Cost-basis conviction
6351Similar category unusual moves
40%Partial reversion base rate

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~14h ago~7h agolatestCrowd basis 90¢~14h before latest: 76.0¢~13h before latest: 76.0¢~12h before latest: 76.0¢~11h before latest: 82.0¢~10h before latest: 44.0¢~9h before latest: 82.0¢~8h before latest: 78.0¢~7h before latest: 86.0¢~6h before latest: 80.0¢~5h before latest: 94.0¢~4h before latest: 97.0¢~3h before latest: 92.0¢~2h before latest: 74.0¢~1h before latest: 87.0¢latest: 88.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 71% · profiled volume 1,341 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.01152303464610¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ price bucket: 0 contracts30¢ price bucket: 0 contracts35¢ price bucket: 0 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 50 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ price bucket: 0 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 77 contracts80¢ price bucket: 261 contracts85¢ price bucket: 444 contracts90¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 461 contracts95¢ price bucket: 48 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.

Sports reversion history

Category-level base rate for unusual moves.

40% GAVE BACK
60% CONTINUED
6351unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
40%partial reversion rate
15%avg move given back