Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Will Cole Sherwood win the The Blue Championship?
Closes in 15d·Other sports
16¢current price
+4.60σoverextension z · low
15¢crowd cost basis
+2¢distance from crowd basis
1.69×vol vs peers
9,92824h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
1.69×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0486Category median logit vol/hr
15¢Crowd cost basis
82%Cost-basis conviction
248Similar category unusual moves
44%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 82% · profiled volume 18,767 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
248unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
44%partial reversion rate
8%avg move given back