Overview / Entertainment / Contract detail
Will Angelista and Simba finish 2 Place in Love Island UK Season 13?
Settles Aug 31, 12AM ET·Loveislanduk
94¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
5¢crowd cost basis
+89¢distance from crowd basis
14.63×vol vs peers
20124h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Entertainment cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
14.63×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0573Category median logit vol/hr
5¢Crowd cost basis
81%Cost-basis conviction
3Similar category unusual moves
67%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 81% · profiled volume 249 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Entertainment reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
BUILDING SAMPLE · n=33unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
67%partial reversion rate
22%avg move given back