Overview / Entertainment / Contract detail
Will Julia and Lorenzo finish 2 Place in Love Island UK Season 13?
Settles Aug 31, 12AM ET·Loveislanduk
4¢current price
-0.51σoverextension z · high
5¢crowd cost basis
-2¢distance from crowd basis
52.61×vol vs peers
75424h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Entertainment cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
52.61×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0488Category median logit vol/hr
5¢Crowd cost basis
100%Cost-basis conviction
1292Similar category unusual moves
29%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 100% · profiled volume 335 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Entertainment reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
1292unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
29%partial reversion rate
8%avg move given back