LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-11T13:06
Status
Not trading advice Feedback

Overview / Entertainment / Contract detail

Will Jasmine and Kavan finish 3 Place in Love Island UK Season 13?

Settles Aug 31, 12AM ET·Loveislanduk

47¢current price
overextension z · insufficient
crowd cost basis
distance from crowd basis
35.38×vol vs peers
42924h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Entertainment cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

35.38×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0488Category median logit vol/hr
Crowd cost basis
1292Similar category unusual moves
29%Partial reversion base rate

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~12h ago~6h agolatest~12h before latest: 88.0¢~11h before latest: 48.0¢~10h before latest: 48.0¢~9h before latest: 48.0¢~8h before latest: 48.0¢~7h before latest: 48.0¢~6h before latest: 48.0¢~5h before latest: 47.0¢~4h before latest: 47.0¢~3h before latest: 47.0¢~2h before latest: 47.0¢~1h before latest: 47.0¢latest: 47.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Entertainment reversion history

Category-level base rate for unusual moves.

29% GAVE BACK
71% CONTINUED
1292unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
29%partial reversion rate
8%avg move given back