Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Will Akie Iwai lead at the end of Round 3 in the The Amundi Evian Championship?
Closes in 14d·Other sports
88¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
—crowd cost basis
—distance from crowd basis
21.71×vol vs peers
10024h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
21.71×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0576Category median logit vol/hr
—Crowd cost basis
6351Similar category unusual moves
40%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
6351unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
40%partial reversion rate
15%avg move given back