LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-11T13:06
Status
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Overview / Mentions / Contract detail

What will the announcers say during Braves vs Cardinals Professional Baseball Game?

Settles Jul 10, 12AM ET·Mlbmention

89¢current price
overextension z · insufficient
40¢crowd cost basis
+49¢distance from crowd basis
49.33×vol vs peers
20324h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Mentions cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

49.33×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0755Category median logit vol/hr
40¢Crowd cost basis
53%Cost-basis conviction
507Similar category unusual moves
63%Partial reversion base rate

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~29h ago~14h agolatestCrowd basis 40¢~29h before latest: 40.0¢~28h before latest: 40.0¢~27h before latest: 40.0¢~26h before latest: 40.0¢~25h before latest: 40.0¢~24h before latest: 40.0¢~23h before latest: 42.0¢~22h before latest: 42.0¢~21h before latest: 45.0¢~20h before latest: 46.0¢~19h before latest: 46.0¢~18h before latest: 46.0¢~17h before latest: 46.0¢~16h before latest: 48.0¢~15h before latest: 46.0¢~14h before latest: 48.0¢~13h before latest: 46.0¢~12h before latest: 46.0¢~11h before latest: 45.0¢~10h before latest: 44.0¢~9h before latest: 38.0¢~8h before latest: 36.0¢~7h before latest: 36.0¢~6h before latest: 33.0¢~5h before latest: 36.0¢~4h before latest: 32.0¢~3h before latest: 28.0¢~2h before latest: 24.0¢~1h before latest: 34.0¢latest: 1.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 53% · profiled volume 451 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.03162931240¢ price bucket: 101 contracts5¢ price bucket: 36 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ price bucket: 0 contracts30¢ price bucket: 5 contracts35¢ price bucket: 93 contracts40¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 124 contracts45¢ price bucket: 22 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ price bucket: 0 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ current price bucket: 70 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.

Mentions reversion history

Category-level base rate for unusual moves.

63% GAVE BACK
37% CONTINUED
507unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
63%partial reversion rate
50%avg move given back