LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-11T13:06
Status
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Overview / Mentions / Contract detail

What will the announcers say during Braves vs Cardinals Professional Baseball Game?

Settles Jul 10, 12AM ET·Mlbmention

74¢current price
overextension z · insufficient
55¢crowd cost basis
+19¢distance from crowd basis
38.6×vol vs peers
43724h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Mentions cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

38.6×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0755Category median logit vol/hr
55¢Crowd cost basis
68%Cost-basis conviction
507Similar category unusual moves
63%Partial reversion base rate

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~29h ago~14h agolatestCrowd basis 55¢~29h before latest: 47.0¢~28h before latest: 49.0¢~27h before latest: 46.0¢~26h before latest: 48.0¢~25h before latest: 44.0¢~24h before latest: 45.0¢~23h before latest: 43.0¢~22h before latest: 46.0¢~21h before latest: 52.0¢~20h before latest: 55.0¢~19h before latest: 54.0¢~18h before latest: 53.0¢~17h before latest: 53.0¢~16h before latest: 54.0¢~15h before latest: 37.0¢~14h before latest: 1.0¢~13h before latest: 28.0¢~12h before latest: 11.0¢~11h before latest: 39.0¢~10h before latest: 39.0¢~9h before latest: 75.0¢~8h before latest: 75.0¢~7h before latest: 75.0¢~6h before latest: 75.0¢~5h before latest: 75.0¢~4h before latest: 75.0¢~3h before latest: 75.0¢~2h before latest: 75.0¢~1h before latest: 75.0¢latest: 74.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 68% · profiled volume 463 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.0621241872490¢ price bucket: 26 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ price bucket: 40 contracts30¢ price bucket: 9 contracts35¢ price bucket: 51 contracts40¢ price bucket: 11 contracts45¢ price bucket: 6 contracts50¢ price bucket: 67 contracts55¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 249 contracts60¢ price bucket: 0 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ current price bucket: 4 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.

Mentions reversion history

Category-level base rate for unusual moves.

63% GAVE BACK
37% CONTINUED
507unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
63%partial reversion rate
50%avg move given back