Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Will Oklahoma City win the Oklahoma City vs Utah Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026?
Live event · 71.6h since start·NBA
8¢current price
-6.86σoverextension z · high
10¢crowd cost basis
-2¢distance from crowd basis
3.86×vol vs peers
158,21524h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
3.86×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0522Category median logit vol/hr
10¢Crowd cost basis
69%Cost-basis conviction
262Similar category unusual moves
44%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 69% · profiled volume 130,919 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
262unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
44%partial reversion rate
9%avg move given back