Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Will Utah win the Oklahoma City vs Utah Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026?
Live event · 71.6h since start·NBA
92¢current price
+6.17σoverextension z · high
90¢crowd cost basis
+2¢distance from crowd basis
4.11×vol vs peers
94,16924h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
4.11×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0522Category median logit vol/hr
90¢Crowd cost basis
49%Cost-basis conviction
262Similar category unusual moves
44%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 49% · profiled volume 78,426 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
262unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
44%partial reversion rate
9%avg move given back