Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Genesis Scottish Open: Will Victor Perez finish top 10?
Closes in 29d·Golf
39¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
5¢crowd cost basis
+34¢distance from crowd basis
2.96×vol vs peers
21724h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
2.96×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0486Category median logit vol/hr
5¢Crowd cost basis
84%Cost-basis conviction
248Similar category unusual moves
44%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 84% · profiled volume 1,393 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
248unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
44%partial reversion rate
8%avg move given back