Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Genesis Scottish Open: Will Austin Eckroat finish top 20?
Closes in 28d·Golf
58¢current price
+10.49σoverextension z · high
5¢crowd cost basis
+53¢distance from crowd basis
7.08×vol vs peers
46324h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
7.08×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0576Category median logit vol/hr
5¢Crowd cost basis
49%Cost-basis conviction
6351Similar category unusual moves
40%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 49% · profiled volume 1,132 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
6351unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
40%partial reversion rate
15%avg move given back