LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-11T01:48
Status
Not trading advice Feedback

Overview / Sports / Contract detail

ISCO Championship: Will Lucas Glover finish top 20?

Closes in 29d·Golf

96¢current price
+0.00σoverextension z · low
65¢crowd cost basis
+30¢distance from crowd basis
2.63×vol vs peers
2,48724h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

2.63×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0486Category median logit vol/hr
65¢Crowd cost basis
49%Cost-basis conviction
248Similar category unusual moves
44%Partial reversion base rate

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~10h ago~5h agolatestCrowd basis 65¢~10h before latest: 21.0¢~9h before latest: 22.0¢~8h before latest: 28.0¢~7h before latest: 28.0¢~6h before latest: 66.0¢~5h before latest: 66.0¢~4h before latest: 66.0¢~3h before latest: 94.0¢~2h before latest: 96.0¢~1h before latest: 96.0¢latest: 96.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 49% · profiled volume 21,501 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.02,6425,2857,92810,5700¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ price bucket: 0 contracts30¢ price bucket: 10,541 contracts35¢ price bucket: 0 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 0 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ price bucket: 0 contracts65¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 10,570 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ current price bucket: 390 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.

Sports reversion history

Category-level base rate for unusual moves.

44% GAVE BACK
56% CONTINUED
248unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
44%partial reversion rate
8%avg move given back