Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Will both teams score in the 2nd Half?
Starts Jul 11, 12AM ET·Other sports
34¢current price
+3.87σoverextension z · low
35¢crowd cost basis
-1¢distance from crowd basis
0.57×vol vs peers
37,51924h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
0.57×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0486Category median logit vol/hr
35¢Crowd cost basis
100%Cost-basis conviction
248Similar category unusual moves
44%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 100% · profiled volume 55,073 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
248unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
44%partial reversion rate
8%avg move given back