LT
Logit Terminal Research
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi (licensed)
Last updated2026-07-10T03:33
Status
Not trading advice

Overview / Financials / Contract detail

Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData be above $2000 on 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026?

Closes in 4d·Wcprice

24¢current price
overextension z · insufficient
60¢crowd cost basis
-36¢distance from crowd basis
0.85×vol vs peers
28724h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Financials cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

0.85×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0701Category median logit vol/hr
60¢Crowd cost basis
55%Cost-basis conviction

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~6h ago~3h agolatestCrowd basis 60¢~6h before latest: 74.0¢~5h before latest: 74.0¢~4h before latest: 59.0¢~3h before latest: 58.0¢~2h before latest: 28.0¢~1h before latest: 28.0¢latest: 24.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 55% · profiled volume 676 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.0931862793720¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ current price bucket: 0 contracts30¢ price bucket: 304 contracts35¢ price bucket: 0 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 0 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 372 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.