LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-11T01:48
Status
Not trading advice Feedback

Overview / Financials / Contract detail

Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 102 (Mercedes-Benz Stadium) on TicketData be above $2000 on 3:00PM ET July 15th, 2026?

Closes in 5d·Wcprice

34¢current price
+0.00σoverextension z · low
80¢crowd cost basis
-46¢distance from crowd basis
1.18×vol vs peers
50724h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Financials cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

1.18×Vol vs comparable peers
0.073Category median logit vol/hr
80¢Crowd cost basis
65%Cost-basis conviction

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~10h ago~5h agolatestCrowd basis 80¢~10h before latest: 78.0¢~9h before latest: 78.0¢~8h before latest: 84.0¢~7h before latest: 84.0¢~6h before latest: 78.0¢~5h before latest: 78.0¢~4h before latest: 78.0¢~3h before latest: 34.0¢~2h before latest: 34.0¢~1h before latest: 34.0¢latest: 34.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 65% · profiled volume 791 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.0701402112810¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ price bucket: 0 contracts30¢ price bucket: 0 contracts35¢ current price bucket: 278 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 0 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ price bucket: 0 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 281 contracts85¢ price bucket: 232 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.