Chicago vs Los Angeles: 1st Quarter by over 6.5 points?

Overview / Sports / Contract detail

Live event · 33.1h since start·WNBA

79¢current price

—overextension z · insufficient

—crowd cost basis

—distance from crowd basis

21.88×vol vs peers

12924h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

21.88×Vol vs comparable peers

0.0576Category median logit vol/hr

—Crowd cost basis

6351Similar category unusual moves

40%Partial reversion base rate

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Category-level base rate for unusual moves.

40% GAVE BACK

60% CONTINUED

6351unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)

40%partial reversion rate

15%avg move given back