Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Kamilla Cardoso: 8+ rebounds
Live event · 33.1h since start·WNBA
94¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
65¢crowd cost basis
+28¢distance from crowd basis
26.96×vol vs peers
1,69124h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
26.96×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0576Category median logit vol/hr
65¢Crowd cost basis
96%Cost-basis conviction
6351Similar category unusual moves
40%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 96% · profiled volume 1,606 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
6351unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
40%partial reversion rate
15%avg move given back