LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-11T01:48
Status
Not trading advice Feedback

Overview / Commodities / Contract detail

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $78.5 by Jul 31, 2026?

Settles Jul 31, 12AM ET

24¢current price
+1.88σoverextension z · low
70¢crowd cost basis
-46¢distance from crowd basis
10.33×vol vs peers
13124h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Commodities cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

10.33×Vol vs comparable peers
0.1497Category median logit vol/hr
70¢Crowd cost basis
63%Cost-basis conviction

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~10h ago~5h agolatestCrowd basis 70¢~10h before latest: 14.0¢~9h before latest: 14.0¢~8h before latest: 68.0¢~7h before latest: 68.0¢~6h before latest: 60.0¢~5h before latest: 45.0¢~4h before latest: 47.0¢~3h before latest: 24.0¢~2h before latest: 21.0¢~1h before latest: 19.0¢latest: 24.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 63% · profiled volume 666 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.01042083134170¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ current price bucket: 125 contracts30¢ price bucket: 0 contracts35¢ price bucket: 0 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 4 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ price bucket: 120 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 417 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.