LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-11T13:06
Status
Not trading advice Feedback

Overview / Crypto / Contract detail

XRP > $1.10

Settles Jul 11, 12AM ET·XRP ladder / hourly

84¢current price
+0.77σoverextension z · high
60¢crowd cost basis
+24¢distance from crowd basis
0.81×vol vs peers
51824h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Crypto cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

0.81×Vol vs comparable peers
0.1983Category median logit vol/hr
60¢Crowd cost basis
94%Cost-basis conviction
138Similar category unusual moves
22%Partial reversion base rate

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢~29h ago~14h agolatestCrowd basis 60¢~29h before latest: 64.0¢~28h before latest: 66.0¢~27h before latest: 68.0¢~26h before latest: 71.0¢~25h before latest: 68.0¢~24h before latest: 70.0¢~23h before latest: 71.0¢~22h before latest: 67.0¢~21h before latest: 68.0¢~20h before latest: 62.0¢~19h before latest: 66.0¢~18h before latest: 70.0¢~17h before latest: 67.0¢~16h before latest: 70.0¢~15h before latest: 73.0¢~14h before latest: 73.0¢~13h before latest: 74.0¢~12h before latest: 74.0¢~11h before latest: 75.0¢~10h before latest: 74.0¢~9h before latest: 75.0¢~8h before latest: 78.0¢~7h before latest: 78.0¢~6h before latest: 74.0¢~5h before latest: 76.0¢~4h before latest: 78.0¢~3h before latest: 83.0¢~2h before latest: 82.0¢~1h before latest: 84.0¢latest: 81.0¢Approx. collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 94% · profiled volume 511 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.01202403604800¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ price bucket: 0 contracts30¢ price bucket: 0 contracts35¢ price bucket: 0 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 0 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 480 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 24 contracts80¢ price bucket: 5 contracts85¢ current price bucket: 2 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.

Crypto reversion history

Category-level base rate for unusual moves.

22% GAVE BACK
78% CONTINUED
138unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
22%partial reversion rate
3%avg move given back