Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Will Jie Cui win the Forbes vs Cui: Round Of 16 match?
Live event · 347.2h since start·Tennis
33¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
80¢crowd cost basis
-47¢distance from crowd basis
1.04×vol vs peers
22624h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
1.04×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0465Category median logit vol/hr
80¢Crowd cost basis
35%Cost-basis conviction
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis; the purple dashed line marks the final pre-event probability; the blue vertical line marks event start when those values are available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 35% · profiled volume 776,896 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.