Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Will Mads Pedersen win Stage 12 in the 2026 Tour de France?
Closes in 10d·Other sports
50¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
—crowd cost basis
—distance from crowd basis
35.67×vol vs peers
96224h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
35.67×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0465Category median logit vol/hr
—Crowd cost basis
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis; the purple dashed line marks the final pre-event probability; the blue vertical line marks event start when those values are available.