Overview / Entertainment / Contract detail
#2 US Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026?
Settles Jul 13, 12AM ET·Netflixrankm
15¢current price
-0.43σoverextension z · high
65¢crowd cost basis
-50¢distance from crowd basis
0.39×vol vs peers
14,85824h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Entertainment cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
0.39×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0491Category median logit vol/hr
65¢Crowd cost basis
42%Cost-basis conviction
1452Similar category unusual moves
30%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 42% · profiled volume 19,600 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Entertainment reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
1452unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
30%partial reversion rate
7%avg move given back