Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Will Brian Harman beat Eric Cole in the 3rd round of the Genesis Scottish Open?
Closes in 14d·Golf
75¢current price
+11.04σoverextension z · high
45¢crowd cost basis
+30¢distance from crowd basis
3.4×vol vs peers
1,45524h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
3.4×Vol vs comparable peers
0.058Category median logit vol/hr
45¢Crowd cost basis
98%Cost-basis conviction
6479Similar category unusual moves
43%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 98% · profiled volume 1,395 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
6479unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
43%partial reversion rate
20%avg move given back