Overview / Sports / Contract detail
The Open Championship: Will Nicolai Hojgaard make the cut?
Closes in 17d·Golf
28¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
60¢crowd cost basis
-32¢distance from crowd basis
4.28×vol vs peers
87324h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
4.28×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0465Category median logit vol/hr
60¢Crowd cost basis
95%Cost-basis conviction
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis; the purple dashed line marks the final pre-event probability; the blue vertical line marks event start when those values are available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 95% · profiled volume 172 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.