LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-30T15:10
Status
Not trading advice Feedback

Overview / Sports / Contract detail

Will Alejandro Del Rey lead at the end of Round 1 in the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Closes in 2d·Golf

29¢current price
overextension z · insufficient
10¢crowd cost basis
+19¢distance from crowd basis
33.04×vol vs peers
12,17424h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

33.04×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0465Category median logit vol/hr
10¢Crowd cost basis
88%Cost-basis conviction

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis; the purple dashed line marks the final pre-event probability; the blue vertical line marks event start when those values are available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.25¢50¢75¢100¢Jul 16, 11:15AM ETJul 16, 11:59AM ETJul 16, 12:35PM ETCrowd basis 10¢Jul 16, 11:15AM ET: 4.0¢Jul 16, 11:23AM ET: 33.0¢Jul 16, 11:32AM ET: 33.0¢Jul 16, 11:41AM ET: 26.5¢Jul 16, 11:50AM ET: 12.0¢Jul 16, 11:59AM ET: 4.0¢Jul 16, 12:08PM ET: 4.0¢Jul 16, 12:17PM ET: 7.0¢Jul 16, 12:26PM ET: 29.0¢Jul 16, 12:35PM ET: 29.0¢Collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 88% · profiled volume 5,793 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.01,0012,0023,0024,0030¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 1,069 contracts10¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 4,003 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ price bucket: 0 contracts25¢ price bucket: 0 contracts30¢ current price bucket: 317 contracts35¢ price bucket: 404 contracts40¢ price bucket: 0 contracts45¢ price bucket: 0 contracts50¢ price bucket: 0 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ price bucket: 0 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.