Overview / Sports / Contract detail
The Open Championship: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 5 in Round 1?
Closes in 17d·Golf
51¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
95¢crowd cost basis
-44¢distance from crowd basis
8.45×vol vs peers
41324h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
8.45×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0465Category median logit vol/hr
95¢Crowd cost basis
100%Cost-basis conviction
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis; the purple dashed line marks the final pre-event probability; the blue vertical line marks event start when those values are available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 100% · profiled volume 59 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.