LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-30T15:10
Status—
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Overview / Sports / Contract detail

The Open Championship: Will Cameron Young finish top 10?

Closes in 17d·Golf

50¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
20¢crowd cost basis
+30¢distance from crowd basis
2.59×vol vs peers
12,46624h contracts

Market context

Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.

2.59×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0465Category median logit vol/hr
20¢Crowd cost basis
76%Cost-basis conviction

Price History

Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis; the purple dashed line marks the final pre-event probability; the blue vertical line marks event start when those values are available.

Price history, fixed 0 to 100 cent scale. Hover points for values.0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Jul 16, 11:15AM ETJul 16, 1:09PM ETJul 16, 3:03PM ETCrowd basis 20¢Jul 16, 11:15AM ET: 25.5¢Jul 16, 11:23AM ET: 27.5¢Jul 16, 11:32AM ET: 29.5¢Jul 16, 11:41AM ET: 24.5¢Jul 16, 11:50AM ET: 25.5¢Jul 16, 11:59AM ET: 25.5¢Jul 16, 12:08PM ET: 17.5¢Jul 16, 12:17PM ET: 15.0¢Jul 16, 12:26PM ET: 18.5¢Jul 16, 12:35PM ET: 20.5¢Jul 16, 12:43PM ET: 24.5¢Jul 16, 12:52PM ET: 26.5¢Jul 16, 1PM ET: 31.0¢Jul 16, 1:09PM ET: 37.0¢Jul 16, 1:17PM ET: 40.5¢Jul 16, 1:26PM ET: 41.5¢Jul 16, 1:35PM ET: 46.5¢Jul 16, 1:44PM ET: 42.5¢Jul 16, 1:53PM ET: 45.5¢Jul 16, 2:02PM ET: 45.0¢Jul 16, 2:10PM ET: 42.0¢Jul 16, 2:19PM ET: 46.5¢Jul 16, 2:28PM ET: 45.0¢Jul 16, 2:37PM ET: 43.5¢Jul 16, 2:45PM ET: 39.0¢Jul 16, 2:53PM ET: 32.5¢Jul 16, 3:03PM ET: 49.5¢Collected snapshot time

Volume-at-price profile

Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 76% · profiled volume 7,958 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.

Volume-at-price profile by 5 cent bucket. Hover bars for bucket volumes.01,1102,2203,3294,4390¢ price bucket: 0 contracts5¢ price bucket: 0 contracts10¢ price bucket: 0 contracts15¢ price bucket: 0 contracts20¢ crowd cost basis / POC: 4,439 contracts25¢ price bucket: 1,642 contracts30¢ price bucket: 75 contracts35¢ price bucket: 0 contracts40¢ price bucket: 667 contracts45¢ price bucket: 1,121 contracts50¢ current price bucket: 14 contracts55¢ price bucket: 0 contracts60¢ price bucket: 0 contracts65¢ price bucket: 0 contracts70¢ price bucket: 0 contracts75¢ price bucket: 0 contracts80¢ price bucket: 0 contracts85¢ price bucket: 0 contracts90¢ price bucket: 0 contracts95¢ price bucket: 0 contracts100¢ price bucket: 0 contracts0¢10¢25¢40¢50¢60¢75¢90¢100¢ContractsPrice bucket

Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.