Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Genesis Scottish Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 20?
Closes in 28d·Golf
44¢current price
+11.49σoverextension z · high
10¢crowd cost basis
+34¢distance from crowd basis
5.03×vol vs peers
1,40424h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
5.03×Vol vs comparable peers
0.058Category median logit vol/hr
10¢Crowd cost basis
100%Cost-basis conviction
6479Similar category unusual moves
43%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 100% · profiled volume 5,797 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
6479unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
43%partial reversion rate
20%avg move given back