Overview / Elections / Contract detail
What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections?
Closes in 831d·Redistrictin
28¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
30¢crowd cost basis
-2¢distance from crowd basis
28.43×vol vs peers
10024h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Elections cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
28.43×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0044Category median logit vol/hr
30¢Crowd cost basis
75%Cost-basis conviction
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis; the purple dashed line marks the final pre-event probability; the blue vertical line marks event start when those values are available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 75% · profiled volume 401 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.