Overview / Crypto / Contract detail
SOL > $78
Settles Jul 17, 12AM ET·SOL ladder / hourly
50¢current price
+0.39σoverextension z · high
50¢crowd cost basis
+0¢distance from crowd basis
0.58×vol vs peers
37424h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Crypto cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
0.58×Vol vs comparable peers
0.1978Category median logit vol/hr
50¢Crowd cost basis
100%Cost-basis conviction
145Similar category unusual moves
24%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 100% · profiled volume 307 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.
Crypto reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
145unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
24%partial reversion rate
5%avg move given back