Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Astana vs Dinamo City Winner?
Live event · 347.2h since start·Other sports
96¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
30¢crowd cost basis
+66¢distance from crowd basis
8.04×vol vs peers
3,05324h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
8.04×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0465Category median logit vol/hr
30¢Crowd cost basis
32%Cost-basis conviction
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis; the purple dashed line marks the final pre-event probability; the blue vertical line marks event start when those values are available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 32% · profiled volume 43,878 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.