Overview / Sports / Contract detail
Will the 1st half score be France wins 3-0?
Starts Jul 14, 12AM ET·Other sports
4¢current price
+0.22σoverextension z · high
—crowd cost basis
—distance from crowd basis
23.97×vol vs peers
11724h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Sports cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
23.97×Vol vs comparable peers
0.058Category median logit vol/hr
—Crowd cost basis
6479Similar category unusual moves
43%Partial reversion base rate
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis when available.
Sports reversion history
Category-level base rate for unusual moves.
6479unusual moves observed (|Z| ≥ 2)
43%partial reversion rate
20%avg move given back