Overview / Financials / Contract detail
Will Chase advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final
Settles Jul 19, 12AM ET
24¢current price
—overextension z · insufficient
40¢crowd cost basis
-16¢distance from crowd basis
71.64×vol vs peers
1,14024h contracts
Market context
Comparisons against the broader Financials cohort and similar historical unusual moves. These are descriptive base rates, not a prediction.
71.64×Vol vs comparable peers
0.0274Category median logit vol/hr
40¢Crowd cost basis
98%Cost-basis conviction
Price History
Fixed 0–100¢ chart from collected snapshot mid-prices. Hover points for observed values. The gold dashed line marks crowd cost basis; the purple dashed line marks the final pre-event probability; the blue vertical line marks event start when those values are available.
Volume-at-price profile
Current probability versus the approximate volume-weighted crowd cost basis. Conviction 98% · profiled volume 897 contracts. Hover bars for bucket volumes.
Gold = crowd cost basis / POC. Blue = current price bucket.