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Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-30T15:10
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Inflation / CPI Markets

CPI and inflation-threshold markets grouped by report and threshold.

MarketPriceZVol vs peersDistanceSince startVol 24h
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
54¢—BUILDING BASELINE3.59×-2¢—59,376
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
26¢—BUILDING BASELINE4.51×+1¢—16,805
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
2¢—BUILDING BASELINE2.59×+2¢—5,581
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
28¢—BUILDING BASELINE1.83×-2¢—4,020
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
63¢—BUILDING BASELINE0.85×-2¢—3,213
Inflation surge in 2026?
Closes in 199d·Lcpimaxyoy
35¢—BUILDING BASELINE7.97×+0¢—2,521
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
88¢—BUILDING BASELINE10.98×-2¢—2,182
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 334.0 ?
Settles Aug 12, 12AM ET·Cpindex
40¢—BUILDING BASELINE12.27×+0¢—1,989
CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?
Closes in 13d·Econstatcpiy
34¢—BUILDING BASELINE6.06×-0¢—1,073
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
6¢—BUILDING BASELINE5.46×+2¢—1,034
CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?
Closes in 13d·Econstatcpiy
8¢—BUILDING BASELINE9.12×-2¢—1,019
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.7% in July?
Closes in 13d·Cpicore
1¢—BUILDING BASELINE0.33×+1¢—916
Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
8¢—BUILDING BASELINE0.81×-2¢—864
Inflation surge in 2026?
Closes in 199d·Lcpimaxyoy
16¢—BUILDING BASELINE0.71×+0¢—813
Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
86¢—BUILDING BASELINE7.56×+1¢—735
Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
93¢—BUILDING BASELINE10.5×-2¢—663
CPI month-over-month in Jul 2026?
Closes in 13d·Econstatcpi
8¢—BUILDING BASELINE6.7×-2¢—646
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
1¢—BUILDING BASELINE0.09×+1¢—471
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 334.2 ?
Settles Aug 12, 12AM ET·Cpindex
8¢—BUILDING BASELINE22.74×-2¢—461
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.8% in July?
Closes in 13d·Cpicore
1¢—BUILDING BASELINE0.5×+1¢—449
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 330ㅤ?
Settles Aug 12, 12AM ET·Usgascpi
68¢—BUILDING BASELINE5.2×-2¢—440
Will CPI rise more than -0.3% in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
98¢—BUILDING BASELINE7.97×-2¢—386
CPI month-over-month in Jul 2026?
Closes in 13d·Econstatcpi
33¢—BUILDING BASELINE11.46×-2¢—366
Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
2¢—BUILDING BASELINE5.71×+2¢—364
CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?
Closes in 13d·Econstatcore
28¢—BUILDING BASELINE2.35×-2¢—246
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for July 2026 be above 333.8 ?
Settles Aug 12, 12AM ET·Cpindex
71¢—BUILDING BASELINE7.86×+1¢—226
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.3% for the year ending in August 2026?
Closes in 43d
3¢—BUILDING BASELINE1.08×-2¢—220
CPI core year-over-year in Aug 2026?
Closes in 43d·Econstatcore
18¢—BUILDING BASELINE9.59×-2¢—200
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in August 2026?
Closes in 43d
70¢—BUILDING BASELINE0.38×+0¢—156
CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
Closes in 43d·Econstatcpiy
36¢—BUILDING BASELINE57.59×+2¢—139
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in July?
Closes in 13d·Cpicore
69¢—BUILDING BASELINE1.96×-1¢—139
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in July 2026?
Closes in 13d
2¢—BUILDING BASELINE7.36×+2¢—126
CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?
Closes in 13d·Econstatcore
19¢—BUILDING BASELINE37.94×-1¢—122
CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
Closes in 43d·Econstatcpiy
14¢—BUILDING BASELINE57.56×-2¢—111
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in August 2026?
Closes in 43d
2¢—BUILDING BASELINE1.45×+2¢—110
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in August 2026?
Closes in 43d·Cpicoreyoy
10¢—BUILDING BASELINE2.07×+0¢—102
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in August 2026?
Closes in 43d
2¢—BUILDING BASELINE1.7×+2¢—101

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