LT
Logit Terminal Research
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi (licensed)
Last updated2026-07-10T03:33
Status
Not trading advice

Reversion

Definition

The tendency of an unusual move to give back part of itself in a following window.

On Logit Terminal

Reversion follow-through reports the partial reversion rate and average move given back after |Z| ≥ 2 moves.

Caveat

It is a historical base rate, not a prediction for any single market; terminal resolution moves are excluded.

Guide: Mean Reversion in Prediction Markets