LT
Logit Terminal PUBLIC BETA
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi data
Last updated2026-07-30T15:10
Status
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Reversion

Definition

The tendency of an unusual move to give back part of itself in a following window.

On Logit Terminal

Reversion follow-through reports the partial reversion rate and average move given back after |Z| ≥ 2 moves.

Caveat

It is a historical base rate, not a prediction for any single market; terminal resolution moves are excluded.

Guide: Mean Reversion in Prediction Markets