LT
Logit Terminal Research
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi (licensed)
Last updated2026-07-10T03:33
Status
Not trading advice

Volatility

Definition

The typical size of a market's hourly log-odds moves.

On Logit Terminal

Compared against lifecycle peers as Vol vs Peers to correct for resolution-driven volatility growth.

Caveat

Raw volatility comparisons across different phases mislead — always read the peer-relative number.

Guide: Volatility in Prediction Markets