LT
Logit Terminal Research
Probability-native market analytics
Data sourceKalshi (licensed)
Last updated2026-07-10T03:33
Status
Not trading advice

Prediction Market Anomaly Report — 2026-07-10

As of 2026-07-10T03:33:12+00:00: 25 rankable markets carry overextension flags, 25 show elevated volatility vs peers, and 12 scheduled event-style markets are upcoming. Effectively resolved and post-event markets are excluded throughout.

Most Interesting Market Right Now
Dallas vs New York
Moved down 12.0x its typical 4h range on 221,421 contracts of 24h volume. Research flag only; not a recommendation.
Price 10¢ Move -12.00σ 24h vol 221,421 Live event · 71.6h since start·WNBA

Most Overextended

MarketTrendPriceOverextension?Vol 24hExpiry
Dallas vs New YorkLIVE
Live event · 71.6h since start·WNBA
10¢-12.00
221,42112d
Dallas vs New YorkLIVE
Live event · 71.6h since start·WNBA
-12.00
81,71412d
Dallas wins by over 9.5 points?LIVE
Live event · 71.6h since start·WNBA
81¢+12.00
204,96512d
Dallas vs New YorkLIVE
Live event · 71.6h since start·WNBA
17¢-12.00
177,64512d
Dallas vs New YorkLIVE
Live event · 71.6h since start·WNBA
35¢-10.73
159,71312d
Will Oklahoma City win the Oklahoma City vs Utah Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026?LIVE
Live event · 71.6h since start·NBA
-6.86
158,21512d
Will Utah win the Oklahoma City vs Utah Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026?LIVE
Live event · 71.6h since start·NBA
92¢+6.17
94,16912d
Dallas vs New YorkLIVE
Live event · 71.6h since start·WNBA
56¢-5.11
116,80112d
What will be LeBron James's next team?
Closes in 105d·Other sports
-2.54
740,519105d
Will Aniya and Carl win Love Island USA Season 8?
Settles Aug 31, 12AM ET·Liusacouple
+2.49
73,75159d

Distance From Crowd Basis

MarketPriceCrowd basis?Distance?Volume profileConviction?Profiled vol
Arizona vs San Diego Winner?LIVE
Live event · 1.9h since start·MLB moneyline
80¢30¢+50¢
58%1,753,863
Arizona vs San Diego Winner?LIVE
Live event · 1.9h since start·MLB moneyline
20¢70¢-50¢
49%1,897,475
Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Jul 5, 2026?
Settles Jul 5, 12AM ET·Trumpact
50¢-42¢
51%1,241
Will Melanie and Sincere finish in the Top 3 Couples in Love Island USA Season 8?
Settles Aug 31, 12AM ET·Loveislandus
34¢75¢-41¢
56%37,326
Pericos de Puebla vs Bravos de Leon winner?LIVE
Live event · 2.1h since start·Other sports
94¢55¢+39¢
73%2,199
Will Mike Trout be selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby?
Closes in 4d·MLB
43¢+38¢
99%812
Will UAE Team Emirates-XRG win the 2026 Tour de France?
Closes in 31d·Other sports
33¢70¢-37¢
64%9,588
Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData be above $2000 on 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026?
Closes in 4d·Wcprice
24¢60¢-36¢
55%676
Sultanes de Monterrey vs Charros de Jalisco winner?LIVE
Live event · 2.1h since start·Other sports
14¢50¢-36¢
94%1,273
ISCO Championship: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 20?
Closes in 30d·Golf
71¢35¢+36¢
91%6,806

Research flags, not recommendations. Methodology · Dashboard